December 30, 2022, Friday, 03:00PM (GMT+03.00, Moscow)


Sergey A. Pulinets
(IKI RAS)

Atmospheric chemical potential as a tool for short-term earthquake prediction and monitoring of critical processes in the atmosphere




Abstract:

The consequences of atmospheric ionization processes is a source of excitation of thermodynamic instability, which manifests itself in the explosive nature of changes in meteorological parameters (air temperature and relative humidity). In the case of earthquakes, the source of ionization is radon released from the earth's crust, and atmospheric anomalies appear several days before an earthquake, and therefore they can be used as a short-term precursors. An integral parameter, called the Atmospheric Chemical Potential (ACP), is calculated on the basis of temperature and relative air humidity data. At the same time, it is a proxy indicator of the radon activity. Will be demonstrated examples of chemical potential variations for a number of earthquakes that took place in 2022, as well as other results of monitoring critical atmospheric phenomena (hurricanes, volcanic eruptions, air pollution leading to heat islands over megacities, radioactive contamination as a result of accidents at nuclear power plants.



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